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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 24NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  AL092016
540 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK…NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT

**HERMINE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE ATLANTIC SOON**

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

– A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD …SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN…SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX…SOUTHERN NEW LONDON …HUDSON …EASTERN ESSEX …EASTERN UNION …SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER …NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) …BRONX …RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) …KINGS (BROOKLYN) …NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK…NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK …SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK …SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK…NORTHERN QUEENS…NORTHERN NASSAU…SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU

* STORM INFORMATION:

– ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY NY OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK POINT NY
– 35.4N 76.5W
– STORM INTENSITY 60 MPH
– MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 21 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TODAY. THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTH NORTHEAST WHILE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK…BEFORE GRADUALLY PICKING UP PACE AS IT SLOWLY WEAKENS AND TRACKS SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND AND CAPE COD DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND AND THE FIVE BOROUGHS OF NEW YORK CITY…FOR SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK…HUDSON AND EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY…AND ALL OF COASTAL CONNECTICUT. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND.

MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AND MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM SUNDAY ONWARD. BATTERING SURF CAUSING SEVERE DUNE EROSION AND WASH-OVERS…AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAINFALL OF UP TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES…WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS POSSIBLE…DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM. HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY BE POSSIBLE IF HERMINE TRACKS FARTHER NORTH.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OF NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND …TIDAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY …WESTCHESTER COUNTY …AND SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
– AREAS OF INUNDATION…ACCENTUATED BY WAVES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST…CAUSING DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS.
– SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW SPOTS.
– FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
– MAJOR DUNE EROSION WITH HIGH SURF BREACHING DUNES. VERY DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.
– MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:

BATTERING SURF CAUSING SIGNIFICANT DUNE EROSION AND OVER-WASHES ARE LIKELY SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN ADDITION…LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

* WIND:

PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS LONG ISLAND …NEW YORK CITY …SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY …HUDSON …EASTERN ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES…AND COASTAL CONNECTICUT.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:

– SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS EXPERIENCING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UN-ANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
– SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED, BUT WITH GREATER NUMBERS IN PLACES WHERE TREES ARE SHALLOW ROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
– SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
– SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* FLOODING RAIN:

IMPACTS AT THIS TIME SHOULD BE LIMITED TO TYPICAL NUISANCE FLOODING MAINLY ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA AND LONG ISLAND…BUT WILL DEPEND ON EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM. A SLIGHT NORTHWARD SHIFT IN THE STORM TRACK COULD RESULT IN HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS. PLEASE STAY TUNED.

LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS INTERIOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY, THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY, AND INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* TORNADOES:

LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

* EVACUATIONS:

IF ORDERED TO EVACUATE, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL STORMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS NEAR THE OCEAN OR IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER GROUND.

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.

KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND CHECK ON THOSE WHO MAY NOT BE FULLY AWARE OF THE SITUATION OR WHO ARE UNABLE TO MAKE PERSONAL PREPARATIONS.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS. IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE CITY OR COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

– FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
– FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
– FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY AROUND 12 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

Red Cross Disaster Exercise

The American Red Cross has announced this years Full Scale Exercise. This year’s disaster will be an incident at the Indian Point Plant.

A substantial degradation of the Indian Point Nuclear Power Plant in Buchanan, NY simulation is scheduled to occur late Friday evening, September 16th.  On Saturday, September 17th, a simulated Unusual Event (NUE) will be declared.  Indian Point Emergency Operations will Notify NY & NJ State, Rockland, Orange, Putnam, and Bergen counties.

We expect to be ACTIVATED on Saturday, Sept. 17th, 2016 from 0800 to 1630 hrs. There will be locations throughout the Region. Confirmed as of now is Manhattan and Sullivan Counties. Scheduled are 2 shelters on Long Island and 2 other shelters and a reception center upstate.

An added twist to this year’s exercise is adding another Red Cross Region – New Jersey to the mix.

Stay tuned for updates…..

 

 

WE ARE ARES

The American Red Cross is mandated by the United States Government to prepare and respond to disasters in the United States. This includes feeding and sheltering.  At the National level, the ARRL and the American Red Cross share a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), and local ARES groups around the country play a vital role in providing communications support to facilities and units in the field.

Now it’s our turn…….

I ask for your support in helping to create an elite volunteer team of responders to support the New York City American Red Cross HQ’s on a local level.  This team would consist of ARES volunteers who would be dispatched to shelters, participate with American Red Cross “Disaster Assessment Teams, etc. within these 5 counties if called upon to do so. Please note:  NO ONE WILL EVER BE ASKED TO PLACE THEMSELVES IN HARMS WAY!  We ARE NOT First Responders.  We volunteer our expertise as communicators ONLY! … Don’t have a “Go Kit”?  If/when the need should arise, we are prepared to provide them to you!

In addition to the above, we also need a team of 4 members who would act as a kind of “Rapid Deployment Team” by reporting to the American Red Cross Emergency Operations Communications Center” to take turns (shifts) as Net Control Operators if Activated by the ARC.

This is why we do Radio…. We are ARES….This is why we all joined the Amateur Radio EMERGENCY Service!

To volunteer please contact me at KD2BQM@arrl.net

CONGRATULATIONS!

Please join me in congratulating Jose Sanles (N2DDD – j.sanles@verizon.net) on his appointment as Queens County Emergency Coordinator. Jose is a dedicated Emcomm enthusiast and brings fresh insight and ideas to the District Leadership Team.

Jose will be replacing Jeff Spiro (N1JSP) who has regrettably decided to step down.  Jeff’s service to Queens County as well as to the NYC District as a whole will be missed,

FIELD DAY 2016

Yigal Rechtman, K2EFG, of Fort Lee, with assistance from Jose Lugo Jr., (KD2CJP) of New York City, participated in the national Amateur Radio Field Day exercise, setting up in Fort Lee Historic Park. Yigal has been a long time member of Kings County ARES. Jose is the Emergency Coordinator for New York County ARES.  Their Field Day event was covered by the North Jersey News.
  • Read all about it HERE
  • Watch the YouTube video HERE.

A PHOENIX RISING…

In my continuing quest to provide the New York City District ARES with leaders of the highest caliber; Individuals who are motivated and proven “Team” players, I have appointed Gabe Guzman (W2KJQ – W2KJQ@arrl.net) as an Assistant District Emergency Coordinator. Gabe will be taking on the responsibility of revitalizing the Bronx County ARES, including, but not limited to heading up a major recruitment program, re-initiating a regularly scheduled Net, and assuring that Bronx County ARES becomes a healthy functioning part of the NYC District. Please join me in offering him a well-deserved CONGRATULATIONS!

NEW YORK COUNTY IS ON THE RISE

Jose, (KD2CJP), EC of New York County ARES has begun to lay the groundwork for a major revitalization of New York County. In addition to a very ambitious recruitment program, NY County is now holding a regular weekly net on Tuesday evenings at 8:30PM on the W2ABC repeater. The county’s long neglected Website is being updated with current information on News, Events, and helpful information, and they now have their very own Twitter account, (@NYCountyARES), as well.

Let’s all do our part to show NY County our support. Please Check into their Net, Follow them on your Twitter account, and drop Jose a brief note of support. After a nearly three year hiatus, New York County is “On the Rise!”

CONGRATULATIONS

Congratulations to Jose Lugo (KD2CJP) on his appointment as New York County Emergency Coordinator. He is a true asset to the District and a dedicated “team” player committed to helping to grow NY County ARES.

Jose will be replacing Mary Diver (K2MTD) who has regrettably decided to step down as NY County EC

AN HONOR AND A PRIVILEGE

It is an honor and a privilege for me to have the opportunity to represent each of you as the New York City District ARES Emergency Coordinator.  When I was first approached about taking this position, I had four primary interests: revitalizing the five counties that make up the New York City District ARES, fostering unity among all of the counties, ensuring their relevance as an Emcomm entity, and working with great people.  

The future of the New York City District ARES is within our control and I look forward to improving our capabilities together. Effective today, NYC District ARES is “on the move….”

Bob Jordan (KD2BQM)